Betting Preview: Greece vs. Scotland – UEFA Nations League Playoffs
The first leg of the UEFA Nations League promotion playoff sees Greece hosting Scotland in a highly anticipated clash. The winner over two legs secures a place in League A. In case of a tie after both matches, extra time and penalties will determine the outcome.
Greece – Form & Analysis
Greece finished 2nd in Group 2 of League B, level on points with England (15 points), narrowly missing out on direct promotion. Under Ivan Jovanović, the team showed excellent form, winning 5 out of 6 matches (5-0-1, 11-4 goal difference). Their only defeat came in a 3-0 loss to England at the OAKA Stadium (14/11/2024).
🔹 Key stats:
✅ Won 3 of their last 4 home matches
✅ 3 consecutive games without conceding
✅ 8 straight games with 2-3 total goals
🔹 Team News:
- In: Youngster Karetsas (17, midfield) receives his first call-up.
- Out: Captain Bakasetas (midfield, injury), Kourbelis (midfield, injury), Kostoulas (midfield, injury).
- Returning: Zafeiris, Chatzigiovanis, Ioannidis.
- Possible changes: Striker Pavlidis likely to start over Ioannidis. Goalkeeper Tzolakis may replace Vlachodimos.
Scotland – Form & Analysis
Scotland finished 3rd in Group 1 of League B, competing against Portugal, Croatia, and Poland. They started poorly, losing three in a row, extending their winless run to 10 official matches. However, a dramatic turnaround saw them win 1-0 against Croatia and then 2-1 in Poland, securing 3rd place.
Manager Steve Clarke, in charge since 2019, has provided stability, but he hinted that 2025 might be his final year with Scotland.
🔹 Key stats:
✅ Unbeaten in last 3 games (2-1-0)
✅ 4 of last 5 away games finished with 2-3 goals
✅ 7 of last 10 games had both teams scoring (GG)
🔹 Team News:
- Out: Ryan Christie (midfield, suspension), Doak (injury).
- First call-ups: Ipswich forward Hirst, 18-year-old midfielder Miller (Motherwell).
- Surprise exclusion: Striker Shankland, despite experience.
- Veteran presence: 42-year-old keeper Craig Gordon remains in the squad.
Betting Tips & Predictions
Greece is in strong form under Jovanović and has a great home advantage. Scotland, despite recent improvement, is inconsistent and missing key players.
🏆 Recommended Bet: Greece to Win (1) @ 2.10