Genoa vs. Lecce – Betting Preview
This fixture between Genoa and Lecce is expected to be a closely contested battle, with both teams struggling to secure victories in recent weeks.
Genoa – Recent Form & Analysis
Genoa’s away draw against Cagliari was expected to be a close contest, and it turned out that way.
Patrick Vieira’s side has struggled recently, with no wins in their last three league games (0-2-1). However, they remain clear of relegation danger and look set for a mid-table finish. The team’s performances are pragmatic rather than entertaining, prioritizing defensive solidity.
🔹 Key Stats:
- 11 losses in 33 Serie A matches (10-12-11 record).
- 24/38 games have ended Under 2.5 goals.
- 17/31 matches have finished with 2-3 total goals.
🔹 Team News:
Genoa faces several absences, including defender Ahanor, center-back Bani, playmaker Messias, midfielder Thorsby, and forwards Ekuban, Vitinha, and Cornet. Vieira is set to start Pinamonti up front, with Ekhator and Miretti playing on the wings. The defense will remain a four-man backline, with Norton-Cuffy and Zanoli competing for the right-back spot.
Lecce – Recent Form & Analysis
Lecce faced AC Milan as clear underdogs but capitalized on defensive gaps, scoring twice through Krstović (7’, 59’) and even hitting the post (21’). However, their defensive frailties were exposed in the last 30 minutes, conceding three times (68’, 73’, 81’) to lose 2-3.
This was Lecce’s third consecutive defeat, and they remain winless in five Serie A matches (0-2-3). The team is in a relegation battle and will need to fight until the end of the season. However, their away form offers some hope, as they have a respectable 2-1-2 record in their last five road games.
🔹 Key Stats:
- 6 wins in 33 league games (6-10-17 record).
- 21/33 games have ended Under 2.5 goals.
- They have scored in 16/33 league matches.
🔹 Team News:
Lecce is relatively healthy, with only backup midfielder Marchwiński and reserve defender Sala missing. Coach Marco Giampaolo has a few selection dilemmas: Jean or Gaspar in central defense, Berisha or Pierotti in midfield, and Tete Morente or Banda on the right wing.
📌Betting Prediction & Odds
Both teams struggle offensively, but Lecce’s leaky defense makes Both Teams to Score (BTTS) a value bet. Both teams have defensive issues but can find the net, making this a reasonable bet at good odds.